How ESG Is Reshaping Investment Banking: Data, Risks & Strategic Moves

Gist
  • ESG and climate risks have moved to the core of investment banking valuation, due diligence, and deal structuring.
  • Investment banks increasingly rely on granular climate and ESG datasets, scores, and scenarios to price physical and transition risk.
  • S&P Global is investing in ESG, AI, and private-markets intelligence (including the $1.8B With Intelligence deal) to capture this demand and drive 7–9% organic growth.
  • Uncertainty around evolving ESG regulations, data quality, and integration costs creates strategic and competitive risk for banks and data providers.
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Investor Banking & ESG: What’s Changing

Investment banking clients and advisors are no longer treating ESG and sustainability themes as boutique or compliance topics—they’re central to valuation, risk assessment, and deal attractiveness. According to S&P Global’s “Investment Banking” offering page, material themes such as climate risk and other ESG factors are now integral when aligning strategies, especially in environments moving toward a low-carbon and equitable future. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/sustainable1/en/who-we-serve/investment-banking?utmsource=openai))

A core shift is rising demand for quantified and granular data—asset-level climate risk exposure, physical hazards, carbon transition impact, benchmarks, and reporting aligned with frameworks like TCFD. For example, S&P Global Sustainable1 research estimates that most large companies will have assets with high exposure to physical climate hazards by mid-century—and that value‐at‐risk metrics for physical damage could be significant. ([press.spglobal.com](https://press.spglobal.com/2022-09-15-S-P-Global-Sustainable1-Launches-Physical-Risk-Exposure-Scores-and-Financial-Impact?utmsource=openai))

S&P Global’s Strategic Moves

To meet this demand, S&P Global is bolstering its data and product stack. Its acquisition of With Intelligence for $1.8 billion adds private markets intelligence, expanding its flight into alt-datasets used by LPs, GPs, advisors; this scales its margin-generating business in high-growth adjacencies. ([investor.spglobal.com](https://investor.spglobal.com/news-releases/news-details/2025/SP-Global-Agrees-to-Acquire-With-Intelligence-from-Motive-Partners-for-1-8-Billion-Establishing-Its-Leadership-in-Private-Markets-Intelligence/default.aspx?utmsource=openai))

On the corporate strategy side, the Investor Day 2025 presentation laid out targets: organic constant-currency revenue growth in the 7–9% range overall, with operating margin expansion of 50–75 bps, and double-digit EPS growth. Division-level targets include 6–8% growth for Market Intelligence and Energy, 10–12% for S&P Dow Jones Indices. ESG and AI are cross-cutting enablers. ([prnewswire.com](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/sp-global-to-present-next-phase-of-its-growth-strategy-and-medium-term-financial-targets-at-investor-day-2025-302614473.html?utmsource=openai))

Implications for Investment Banks

1. Due diligence and valuation models must increasingly include ESG metrics (physical risk exposure, carbon regulation scenarios etc.), not just financials and operations.

2. Data and ESG scoring providers are becoming strategic partners—banks may choose providers not only for data quality but for integration, scenario forecasting, and AI capabilities.

3. M&A/financing will attach premium or risk discounts based on ESG characteristics, leading to a differentiated cost of capital depending on climate exposure.

4. Regulatory and reporting risks are mounting; investors and counterparties expect transparency, science-based targets, and meaningful metrics.

Open Questions & Risks

  • How will various regulatory regimes (EU, U.S., Asia) converge or diverge in ESG disclosure standards, and how will that affect cross-border investment banking?
  • What are the accuracy, provenance, and potential bias in physical risk projections, ESG scores, and climate scenario models used in transactions?
  • To what extent will rising costs or complexity of ESG integration affect smaller or mid-tier banks compared to bulge-brackets?
  • How will market participants respond if ESG becomes too commoditized or if there’s ESG fatigue from investors demanding less tangible impact?
Supporting Notes
  • Sustainability risks—especially climate risk—are now seen as affecting valuations and risk assessments in transaction work in investment banking. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/sustainable1/en/who-we-serve/investment-banking?utmsource=openai))
  • S&P Global offers ESG and climate-related analytics across investment banking/private equity workflows, including climate credit analytics, physical risk data, disclosure tools, and sustainability investment scoring. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/industries/personas/sustainability-for-investment-banking-private-equity?utmsource=openai))
  • S&P Global’s Physical Risk Exposure Scores dataset (launched in late-2022) projects that 92% of largest companies have at least one asset at high exposure to a physical climate hazard by the 2050s; over one-third have exposure equating to 20% or more of asset value. ([press.spglobal.com](https://press.spglobal.com/2022-09-15-S-P-Global-Sustainable1-Launches-Physical-Risk-Exposure-Scores-and-Financial-Impact?utmsource=openai))
  • With Intelligence (proprietary private markets data provider) acquisition for $1.8B is expected to generate ~$130 million in revenue in 2025 and grow contract value in high-teens annually. ([investor.spglobal.com](https://investor.spglobal.com/news-releases/news-details/2025/SP-Global-Agrees-to-Acquire-With-Intelligence-from-Motive-Partners-for-1-8-Billion-Establishing-Its-Leadership-in-Private-Markets-Intelligence/default.aspx?utmsource=openai))
  • S&P Global Investor Day 2025 targets include overall organic revenue growth of 7–9% annually, margin expansion of 50–75 basis points, and double-digit EPS growth. Division targets: Market Intelligence and Energy 6–8%, Dow Jones Indices 10–12%. ([prnewswire.com](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/sp-global-to-present-next-phase-of-its-growth-strategy-and-medium-term-financial-targets-at-investor-day-2025-302614473.html?utmsource=openai))
  • Emerging physical risk scenarios (heatwaves, wildfires, etc.) are among the most material threats globally, with greatest risk through location of assets rather than sector alone. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/en/research-insights/special-reports/the-big-picture-on-climate-risk?utm_source=openai))

Sources

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