Market Outlook

Investment Bank Revenue Outlook 2025-26: Equities Lead, Advisory Surges, Trading Cools

Gist Global investment bank revenues are projected to rise about 10% in 2025 to roughly $346B, led by a robust rebound in equities trading. Equities trading is expected to grow ~15% in 2025, with equity derivatives, prime services, and cash equities as the fastest-expanding sub-segments. FICC and advisory/origination are also forecast to grow in 2025, …

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Citi Sees 25% Surge in Q4 2025 Investment Banking Fees Amid Leadership Transition

Gist Citi CFO Mark Mason expects Q4 investment banking fees to rise about 25% year-over-year, driven by strong M&A and capital markets activity. He forecasts Q4 markets revenue will fall in the low-to-mid single digits versus a year earlier. Citi sees U.S. consumer spending as resilient but anticipates a moderate economic slowdown extending into 2026. …

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Citigroup Sees Gradual Q3 Revenue Uptick, Strong Investment Banking Rebound Expected Q4

Gist Citigroup CFO Mark Mason expects Q3 2025 investment banking fees and markets revenue to grow by mid-single digits year-over-year. Full-year revenue and expenses are likely to exceed prior guidance, but the stable expense-to-revenue ratio should keep the impact on earnings neutral to slightly positive. For Q4 2025, Citi projects investment banking fees up by …

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